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Featured offer · Thanksgiving 2026

Thanksgiving · Snow Wins It All

Thanksgiving 2026 #SnowGame Sports · NFL

If an inch of snow falls on a Thanksgiving game

If one inch of snow or more falls at a Thanksgiving NFL game, every campaign order is free: 100% cashback to the shopper.

32
Days
06
Hours
20
Min
00
Sec
Trigger probability (our model)
~ 5%
One inch of snow at a game · ~ 1 in 20
Suggested liability cap
$150K–$400K
Time to launch
~ 5 days
100%Cashbackif an inch of snow falls

100% Cashback if it snows an inch

One mechanic, every look. The Thanksgiving creative that runs across the store, email, and paid, already built for your brand.

The creative

100% Cashback if it snows an inch

One mechanic, every look. The Thanksgiving creative that runs across the store, email, and paid, already built for your brand.

Turnkey · live in days

How to activate

Three steps from first call to live campaign. We handle the build and carry the risk.

1Step 01

Set up an appointment

Book a 20-minute call. We map a real-world trigger your shoppers already care about.

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2Step 02

We set up your turnkey solution

Playably wires the campaign, widget, and payout. No dev work, no discounting on your end.

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3Step 03

Increase profits

Shoppers pay full price for a chance to win. Higher AOV, full margin, zero payout exposure.

Risk is on us
You save margins
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More offers

Upcoming offers

Real-world triggers your shoppers already watch. Pick one and we model the odds and the cap.

STOWE OPENING
EARLY SNOW
WEATHER · SKI
If Stowe Mountain Resort opens for the season before November 15, every campaign order pays back 100%.
17dto event
15%trigger prob.
GAME AWARDS
UPSET
CULTURAL · GAMING
If Game of the Year goes to anything other than Grand Theft Auto VI, every campaign order pays back 100%.
42dto event
28%trigger prob.
THE HEISMAN
DEFENSE
SPORTS · CFB
If a defensive player is named a Heisman Trophy finalist, every campaign order pays back 100%.
44dto event
17%trigger prob.
WORD OF YEAR
BRAINROT
CULTURAL · LANGUAGE
If Merriam-Webster’s Word of the Year is “brainrot”, every campaign order pays back 100%.
46dto event
14%trigger prob.
NBA CHRISTMAS
OVERTIME
SPORTS · NBA
If any Christmas Day game goes to overtime, every campaign order pays back 100%.
57dto event
27%trigger prob.
WHITE CHRISTMAS
SNOW DAY
WEATHER · NYC
If ≥1″ of snow falls in New York City on December 25, every campaign order pays back 100%.
57dto event
12%trigger prob.
NEW YEAR’S EVE
FREEZING
WEATHER · TIMES SQUARE
If it is at or below freezing in Times Square when the ball drops, every campaign order pays back 100%.
63dto event
28%trigger prob.
WINTER CLASSIC
OVERTIME
SPORTS · NHL
If the outdoor Winter Classic goes to overtime, every campaign order pays back 100%.
63dto event
23%trigger prob.
ROSE PARADE
RAINED ON
WEATHER · PASADENA
If measurable rain falls on Pasadena during the Rose Parade, every campaign order pays back 100%.
64dto event
8%trigger prob.
OSCAR NOMS
SNUBBED
CULTURAL · FILM
If Dune: Part Three misses the Best Picture list, every campaign order pays back 100%.
84dto event
20%trigger prob.
CFP TITLE GAME
OVERTIME
SPORTS · CFB
If the national championship game goes to overtime, every campaign order pays back 100%.
88dto event
8%trigger prob.
GROUNDHOG DAY
NO SHADOW
WEATHER · PUNXSUTAWNEY
If Punxsutawney Phil sees no shadow and calls an early spring, every campaign order pays back 100%.
96dto event
15%trigger prob.
THE GRAMMYS
UPSET
CULTURAL · MUSIC
If Best New Artist goes to anyone other than Ella Langley, every campaign order pays back 100%.
101dto event
34%trigger prob.
DAYTONA 500
RED FLAG
SPORTS · NASCAR
If rain stops the Daytona 500 for more than an hour, every campaign order pays back 100%.
115dto event
20%trigger prob.

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